Sunday, September 28, 2008

2008 Election Poll Falls Behind in Poll Poll

(Reuters) Washington D.C. - New polls indicate that the 2008 Presidential Election polls have fallen behind in Colorado and are maintaining a slim lead against other polls in California and New Mexico.

A CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Sunday shows the 2008 Presidential Election polls slipping 3 points, allowing the 2004 Presidential Election poll to maintain a slim lead in this key swing state.

The polls indicate that the two polls are running nearly neck and neck in California at 39 points for 2008 and 38 points for 2004. The 2000 Presidential Election poll, 1996 Presidential Election poll, May, Vaulting and Lech Wałęsa are splitting the remainder in this poll of polls.

The 2008 Presidential Election Poll has slipped behind the other polls following some changes to polling methodology, which were apparently unpopular amongst those polled. Others point to the inability of pollsters to reach certain demographics, including college students, working mothers, those without a home phone, and the Germans, who apparently misunderstood the question.

CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser said that the results of this poll were somewhat unexpected, as, historically, more recent polls did better than historical polls.

"The American public, generally, has the attention span of a gnat and the typical response to this poll tends to focus on the polls that are at the forefront of people's consciousness."

Polling trend data, suggests however, that the 2008 Presidential Election Poll will pull ahead by election day.

1 comment:

william said...

In the September poll, marking the half way point in the mandate period, the Alliance block gained 39.6 percent against the red-green opposition's 54.5 percent. None of the changes from August are statistically significant however.

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